SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Catanzaro | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
58.73% ( -0.36) | 22.97% ( 0.18) | 18.3% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( -0.48) | 49.93% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( -0.43) | 71.92% ( 0.43) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( -0.29) | 16.69% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.43% ( -0.53) | 46.57% ( 0.53) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.08) | 41.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.25% ( -0.07) | 77.75% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Catanzaro | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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