SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Catanzaro |
48.28% ( 0.13) | 24.15% ( -0.05) | 27.57% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.17) | 45.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( 0.16) | 67.51% ( -0.16) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.12) | 18.81% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.76% ( 0.19) | 50.24% ( -0.19) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( 0.03) | 29.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.9% ( 0.04) | 66.1% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 27.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 35 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
| 3 | Como | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 31 |
| 4 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Palermo | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Modena | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Brescia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Sampdoria | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | BariBari | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Pisa | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Ternana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | AscoliAscoli | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 | Lecco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 10 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
