SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lecco win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cosenza Calcio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Lecco |
42.53% ( 0.06) | 27.52% ( 0.01) | 29.95% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.06) | 57.56% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% ( -0.05) | 78.35% ( 0.06) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0) | 26.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.96% ( 0.01) | 62.04% ( 0) |
| Lecco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( -0.09) | 34.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.6% ( -0.09) | 71.4% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Lecco |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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