SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
23.01% ( -0.25) | 23.12% ( -0.17) | 53.88% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( 0.5) | 44.6% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( 0.48) | 66.97% ( -0.48) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( 0.05) | 33.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30% ( 0.06) | 70% ( -0.06) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.33) | 16.49% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.79% ( 0.59) | 46.22% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.01% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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