Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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