We said: Salernitana 2-1 Cremonese
If they are to have a chance of staying up this season, Cremonese must surely target games such as Saturday's, when they meet another club only recently back in the big time. However, Salernitana are far further ahead in their development and have proven they can score against any side, so the Grigiorossi's long search for a win will go on.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Salernitana | Draw | Cremonese |
41.39% ( 0) | 26.13% | 32.47% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% |
| 48.64% | 51.36% ( -0) |
| 26.82% ( 0) | 73.18% ( -0) |
| 75.47% | 24.53% ( -0) |
