Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Malaga |
30.35% ( -0.03) | 29.58% ( 0.14) | 40.07% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 42.46% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.66% ( -0.45) | 64.34% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.57% ( -0.32) | 83.43% ( 0.32) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% ( -0.27) | 38.05% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% ( -0.26) | 74.82% ( 0.26) |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.55% ( -0.29) | 31.45% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.17% ( -0.34) | 67.83% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Ponferradina | Draw | Malaga |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 13.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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