Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Malaga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.27%. A draw had a probability of 33% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (6.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.96%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.