SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Alaves |
47.79% ( 0.09) | 27.87% ( 0.01) | 24.34% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.26% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.45% ( -0.1) | 61.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% ( -0.07) | 81.4% ( 0.07) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( 0) | 25.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.08% ( 0) | 60.92% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.15) | 41.6% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.91% ( -0.14) | 78.09% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
| P | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
| 3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| R | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| R | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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