SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Las Palmas |
38.86% ( -0.03) | 30.28% ( -0.01) | 30.87% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.66% ( 0.04) | 66.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.18% ( 0.03) | 84.82% ( -0.03) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0) | 33.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( 0.05) | 38.77% ( -0.05) |
