SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
49.24% ( 0.64) | 26.71% ( 0.14) | 24.05% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.12% ( -1.05) | 57.87% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.41% ( -0.84) | 78.59% ( 0.84) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.17) | 23.6% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.32% ( -0.24) | 57.67% ( 0.24) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( -1.3) | 39.79% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.54% ( -1.22) | 76.46% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.23% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.38% Total : 24.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 4 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 55 |
| 9 | Burgos | 39 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 54 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 52 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 49 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Leganes | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 39 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 28 |
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