SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Las Palmas |
34.4% ( 0.1) | 29.76% ( -0.01) | 35.84% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.65% ( 0.02) | 64.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.57% ( 0.02) | 83.43% ( -0.02) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.91% ( 0.08) | 35.09% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.16% ( 0.09) | 71.83% ( -0.09) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( -0.05) | 34.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.2% ( -0.06) | 70.8% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
| 3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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