Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Malaga |
49.74% (![]() | 29.27% (![]() | 20.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 36.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.15% (![]() | 67.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.17% (![]() | 85.83% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% (![]() | 27.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% (![]() | 63.57% (![]() |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.25% (![]() | 48.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.22% (![]() | 83.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Malaga |
1-0 @ 17.36% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.07% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 1.47% Total : 49.73% | 0-0 @ 13.62% (![]() 1-1 @ 12.47% 2-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
P | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
R | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
R | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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