SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
51.05% ( -0.13) | 27.88% ( 0.12) | 21.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.01% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0.34) | 63.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -0.25) | 83.15% ( 0.24) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.22) | 25.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.71% ( -0.3) | 60.29% ( 0.29) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.2) | 46.33% ( 0.19) |
