SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Eibar |
29.63% ( 0.44) | 27.66% ( -0.39) | 42.71% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( 1.53) | 58.17% ( -1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( 1.19) | 78.82% ( -1.19) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 1.17) | 35.24% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28% ( 1.2) | 71.99% ( -1.2) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( 0.69) | 26.95% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.72% ( 0.9) | 62.28% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Levante | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Burgos | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | ElcheElche | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 |
| 15 | Eldense | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Albacete | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Villarreal II | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 | Huesca | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 22 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 21 | Amorebieta | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 16 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 15 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
