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Segunda Division | Gameweek 29
Mar 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 2
Malaga

Baptistao (11'), Arribas (53')
Gonzalez (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rodriguez Sanchez (55'), A (62' pen.)
Ochoa Moloney (3'), Medina (24'), Monte (33'), Luismi (68')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Tenerife
Friday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Malaga has a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Malaga win it is 0-1 (7.86%).

Result
AlmeriaDrawMalaga
50.12% (-0.272 -0.27) 25.57% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 24.31% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (0.166 0.17)53.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (0.14 0.14)75% (-0.14 -0.14)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)21.36% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)54.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (0.327 0.33)37.1% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (0.322 0.32)73.88% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 50.12%
    Malaga 24.31%
    Draw 25.56%
AlmeriaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, February 22 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Elche
Monday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Deportivo 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 9 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Real Oviedo
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, January 26 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Huesca
Sunday, January 19 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Tenerife
Friday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Malaga
Saturday, February 15 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Levante
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Malaga
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-2 Zaragoza
Sunday, January 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 3-2 Malaga
Monday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division


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