SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Elche |
39.65% ( -0.61) | 28.01% ( 0.11) | 32.34% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0.29) | 58.65% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( -0.23) | 79.2% ( 0.23) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.49) | 28.86% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.61) | 64.73% ( 0.62) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 0.21) | 33.5% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( 0.22) | 70.14% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.64% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.34% |
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