SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Almeria |
39.72% ( -0.07) | 27.62% ( -0.01) | 32.65% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% ( 0.07) | 57.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% ( 0.06) | 78.04% ( -0.06) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.01) | 28.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.01) | 63.79% ( 0.01) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( 0.1) | 32.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( 0.11) | 69.06% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.65% |
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