SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Stirling Albion |
35.39% ( 0.33) | 24.36% ( 0) | 40.25% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.03) | 42.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( 0.02) | 65.21% ( -0.03) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.19) | 23.84% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.99% ( 0.28) | 58.01% ( -0.27) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.15) | 21.35% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.69% ( -0.23) | 54.31% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 53 |
| 2 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Elgin CityElgin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | StranraerStranraer | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 33 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 27 |
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