SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
49.7% ( 0.33) | 24.25% ( -0.34) | 26.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.21% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( 1.48) | 46.73% ( -1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( 1.37) | 68.99% ( -1.37) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.71) | 18.85% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.7% ( 1.17) | 50.3% ( -1.17) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.79) | 31.97% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.58% ( 0.9) | 68.42% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.24% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 53 |
| 2 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 51 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 40 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 34 |
| 7 | Elgin CityElgin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | StranraerStranraer | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 27 |
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