SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Dumbarton |
47.71% ( 0.08) | 24.83% ( -0.01) | 27.46% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( -0) | 48.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( -0) | 70.36% |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.03) | 20.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.41% ( 0.05) | 52.59% ( -0.05) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.06) | 31.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.94% ( -0.06) | 68.06% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 62 | 33 | 29 | 67 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 45 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 44 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 38 |
| 8 | Elgin CityElgin | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 37 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 35 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 33 |
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