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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
37.33% ( -5.41) | 25.51% ( 0.38) | 37.16% ( 5.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.85) | 47.97% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.79) | 70.14% ( 0.79) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -3.13) | 25.14% ( 3.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.14% ( -4.52) | 59.86% ( 4.52) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 2.58) | 25.24% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.01% ( 3.43) | 59.99% ( -3.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.97)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.7)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.76)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.39)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.75% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.72)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 1)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.58)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.62)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 54 |
| 3 | East FifeEast Fife | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 43 |
| 4 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 39 |
| 6 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Elgin CityElgin | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 30 |
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