SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Stranraer |
32.07% ( -0.48) | 24.05% ( -0.01) | 43.87% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( -0.12) | 42.27% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( -0.12) | 64.67% ( 0.12) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.35) | 25.5% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.65% ( -0.48) | 60.34% ( 0.48) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.16) | 19.48% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.65% ( 0.27) | 51.35% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Stranraer |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 43.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 53 |
| 2 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Elgin CityElgin | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | StranraerStranraer | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 33 |
| 9 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
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