SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stirling Albion |
37.41% ( -0.05) | 25.43% ( 0.01) | 37.16% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.04) | 47.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.03) | 69.81% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( -0.05) | 24.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.43% ( -0.06) | 59.57% ( 0.06) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.24% ( 0.01) | 59.76% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 59 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 54 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 44 |
| 4 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 44 |
| 5 | East FifeEast Fife | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 43 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 34 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 33 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
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