Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
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