Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
