SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Annan Athletic |
57.68% ( -1.53) | 22.63% ( 0.36) | 19.69% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( 0.16) | 46.59% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( 0.15) | 68.86% ( -0.15) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.45) | 15.88% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.9% ( -0.84) | 45.1% ( 0.84) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.28% ( 1.38) | 37.72% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.5% ( 1.32) | 74.5% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.67% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 37 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Montrose | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 18 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 11 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 9 |
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