SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Peterhead |
71.95% ( 0.07) | 17.31% ( 0.01) | 10.74% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.8% ( -0.34) | 41.19% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.34) | 63.59% ( 0.34) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.89% ( -0.07) | 10.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.73% ( -0.16) | 33.27% ( 0.16) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.39) | 46.83% ( 0.39) |
