SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
43.99% ( -1.09) | 24.63% ( -0.05) | 31.37% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.71) | 45.23% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( 0.68) | 67.58% ( -0.68) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( -0.19) | 20.65% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% ( -0.29) | 53.22% ( 0.29) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( 1.1) | 27.39% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( 1.41) | 62.86% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.37% |
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