Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
