SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
23.23% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( -0.13) | 51.71% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0.51) | 52.46% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( 0.44) | 74.13% ( -0.44) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( 0.29) | 37.53% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.69% ( 0.29) | 74.31% ( -0.28) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.26) | 20.28% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.36% ( 0.4) | 52.64% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 |
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