SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
60.55% ( 0.67) | 20.71% ( -0.19) | 18.74% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.59% ( 0.1) | 39.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.25% ( 0.1) | 61.74% ( -0.1) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( 0.23) | 12.61% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.26% ( 0.47) | 38.73% ( -0.46) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.44) | 34.54% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.74% ( -0.48) | 71.26% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 60.55% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 18.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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