SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Baltika |
43.48% ( 0) | 26.26% ( 0) | 30.27% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( -0.01) | 52.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% ( -0) | 74.25% ( 0.01) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0) | 24.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.7% ( -0) | 58.3% ( 0) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( -0) | 31.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.71% ( -0.01) | 68.29% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | RostovRostov | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | OrenburgOrenburg | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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