SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
31.22% ( 0.01) | 25.78% ( 0) | 43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0) | 50.29% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% | 72.24% ( 0) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 0.01) | 30.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.87% ( 0.01) | 66.13% ( -0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.01) | 23.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.82% ( -0.01) | 57.18% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | RostovRostov | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | OrenburgOrenburg | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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