SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
19.69% ( 0.36) | 23.94% ( 0.52) | 56.37% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -1.57) | 51.89% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -1.38) | 73.65% ( 1.38) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.51) | 40.78% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.63% ( -0.46) | 77.36% ( 0.46) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.9) | 18.25% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.71% ( -1.55) | 49.29% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.69% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 10.76% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | RostovRostov | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Fakel | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Baltika | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
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