SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
44.02% ( 0.58) | 24.19% ( 0.1) | 31.79% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.74) | 43.01% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( -0.74) | 65.41% ( 0.74) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.05) | 19.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.26% ( -0.09) | 51.74% ( 0.09) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.77) | 26.03% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.93% ( -1.06) | 61.06% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.02% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Sochi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fakel | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Baltika | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
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