Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
65.22% ( 0.22) | 20.36% ( -0.09) | 14.43% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( 0.16) | 45.78% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.9% ( 0.15) | 68.1% ( -0.15) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% ( 0.11) | 13.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.99% ( 0.23) | 40.01% ( -0.23) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.28% ( -0.08) | 43.72% ( 0.08) |