SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
46.53% ( -1.09) | 27.16% ( 0.37) | 26.31% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.86) | 57.97% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% ( -0.68) | 78.67% ( 0.68) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -0.9) | 24.92% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.45% ( -1.27) | 59.55% ( 1.27) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( 0.15) | 37.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.41% ( 0.15) | 74.59% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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