Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
