While Braga have struggled to grind out results in the Primeira Liga in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of ending this dry spell as they face an opposing side who they are unbeaten against in 15 consecutive encounters. Portimonense last won a league game back in December and we predict the visitors extend this poor run by coming away with all three points on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
