Porto have enjoyed a sensational domestic campaign this season and are now closing in on a record-breaking title triumph. Considering their contrasting form, and the gulf in quality between both teams, we are tipping the Dragoes to end their winless run at the Estadio Braga Municipal and come away with their first victory since 2019.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
