With just one point separating the sides in the standings, we anticipate an action-packed affair with both teams going at each other in search of all three points. Portimonense are unbeaten in nine consecutive games against the Vila Nova and we predict they will make use of their home advantage and come away with maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
