SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
87.75% ( 0.14) | 8.69% ( -0.01) | 3.56% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 40.77% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.82) | 27.54% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.83% ( -1.04) | 48.17% ( 1.04) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( -0.11) | 4.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.97% ( -0.36) | 17.03% ( 0.36) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.49% ( -1.3) | 57.51% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.67% ( -0.74) | 89.33% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 3-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.4)4-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)7-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.04% Total : 87.74% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.4% Total : 8.69% | 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.13% Total : 3.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
