SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
22.1% ( 1.3) | 22.96% ( 0.75) | 54.94% ( -2.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( -1.7) | 44.93% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( -1.65) | 67.29% ( 1.66) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( 0.28) | 34.38% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.91% ( 0.3) | 71.09% ( -0.3) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -1.28) | 16.24% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.25% ( -2.38) | 45.75% ( 2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.27)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.15)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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