SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
41.89% ( -0.78) | 25.03% ( 0.08) | 33.08% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( -0.16) | 46.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( -0.15) | 68.67% ( 0.15) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.44) | 22.11% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.53% ( -0.66) | 55.47% ( 0.66) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 0.36) | 26.87% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.81% ( 0.46) | 62.18% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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