SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
42.52% ( 0.53) | 25.8% ( -0.05) | 31.68% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( 0.03) | 50.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( 0.03) | 72.16% ( -0.03) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( 0.28) | 23.46% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.53% ( 0.4) | 57.47% ( -0.4) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.3) | 29.65% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.3% ( -0.37) | 65.7% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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