SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
57.43% ( -1.28) | 22.4% ( 0.35) | 20.17% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( -0.21) | 44.93% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( -0.2) | 67.28% ( 0.2) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0.49) | 15.39% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.81% ( -0.92) | 44.18% ( 0.92) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( 0.85) | 36.27% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.94% ( 0.85) | 73.05% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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