SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
60.44% ( -0.4) | 21.63% ( 0.1) | 17.92% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.03) | 44.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.03) | 67.26% ( -0.03) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.59% ( -0.12) | 14.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.67% ( -0.23) | 42.32% ( 0.23) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% ( 0.37) | 38.69% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.56% ( 0.35) | 75.43% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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