We said: Chelsea 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur
This is a very difficult match to call, with Chelsea struggling to win Premier League games in recent weeks. Tottenham are a much-improved outfit under Conte's management, meanwhile, and we believe that the visitors will have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils at Stamford Bridge this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
