MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 13:44:21
SM
EFL Cup final: 2 hrs 45 mins
Jan 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Spurs
0 - 1
Chelsea
 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rudiger (18')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Chelsea (Chelsea win 4-1 on aggregate)

There are no two ways about it - any lack of urgency or ruthlessness from this Tottenham side will prove fatal, and Conte ought to send his side out there to attack a Chelsea backline that is far from impenetrable. However, having to call upon the big hitters from the bench to beat Morecambe does not bode well for the hosts, and we expect Chelsea to see the job through and book their tickets to Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawChelsea
35.94%26.43%37.62%
Both teams to score 52.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96%52.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23%73.77%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14%27.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54%63.45%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12%26.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81%62.19%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 35.94%
    Chelsea 37.62%
    Draw 26.43%
Tottenham HotspurDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.94%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 6.46%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.62%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal24183352232957
2Manchester CityMan City25174464253955
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd24154541281349
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs2413384435942
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle231011235152041
6Fulham2511683631539
7Liverpool23106738281036
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton22105739291035
9Brentford2381143730735
10Chelsea238782323031
11Aston Villa2494113038-831
12Crystal Palace246992131-1027
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2467111842-2425
14Leicester CityLeicester2473143642-624
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2466121833-1524
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2465132329-623
17Leeds UnitedLeeds2457122939-1022
18Everton2456131732-1521
19Bournemouth2456132248-2621
20Southampton2453161941-2218
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